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Is loneliness really an epidemic?

Loneliness is common and is linked to a higher risk of early death, at levels compared to smoking.

Updated 4 days ago3 min readVersion 5
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Covers: Loneliness and social isolation in adults, their prevalence across countries and links with mortality.

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The short answer

Interpretation

Loneliness is common rather than rare, and it is associated with a meaningfully higher risk of premature death. In the United States, about half of adults report experiencing loneliness, and lacking social connection is linked to premature death at a level comparable to smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day. Pooled mortality analyses find that social isolation raises the likelihood of death by about 29%, loneliness by about 26%, and living alone by about 32%. Across 113 countries, pooled loneliness prevalence for adolescents ranges from about 9.2% in South-East Asia to about 14.4% in the Eastern Mediterranean.123

What this rests on3 independent sources · 3 versions
  • Evidence 15
  • Interpretation 1

In brief

  1. About half of US adults report experiencing loneliness.1

    Evidence-backed
  2. Pooled mortality analyses associate social isolation with a 29% higher likelihood of death, loneliness with 26%, and living alone with 32%.2

    Evidence-backed
  3. The mortality risk linked to lacking social connection is described as comparable to smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day.1

    Evidence-backed
  4. Adolescent loneliness prevalence across world regions ranges from about 9.2% to 14.4%.3

    Evidence-backed
  5. Prevalence data are much thinner outside Europe and for adults in low- and middle-income countries.3

    Evidence-backed

At a glance

The picture in numbers

Live · updated just now

Pooled mortality analyses
  • Living alone32%
  • Social isolation29%
  • Loneliness26%
Higher likelihood of death linked to each factor2
US Surgeon General's advisory

15 cigarettes a day

15 cigarettes a day: Cigarettes a day seen as comparable to lacking social connection1
Pooled data from 113 countries
  • South-East Asia9.2%
  • Eastern Mediterranean14.4%
Adolescent loneliness across world regions3

The evidence behind it

8 sources
  • Reviews of many studies4
  • Other studies and data4

When it was published

Newest from 2026

20152026
Sources on this page by kind and year
SourceKindYear
Our epidemic of loneliness and isolation: the U.S. Surgeon General's advisory on the healing effects of social connection and communityOther studies and data2023
Loneliness and Social Isolation as Risk Factors for MortalityOther studies and data2015
The prevalence of loneliness across 113 countries: systematic review and meta-analysisReviews of many studies2022
Measuring loneliness at a national scale: The measuring loneliness in England (INTERACT) study's approach and initial findings.Other studies and data2026
Worldwide Changes in Loneliness Among Older Adults From 1997 to 2025: A Cross-Temporal Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review.Reviews of many studies2026
Prevalence and factors associated with loneliness among older adults in Africa: systematic review and meta-analysis.Reviews of many studies2026
Is my loneliness killing me? Effects of loneliness and social isolation on transitions between cognitive status categories and death.Other studies and data2026
The association of loneliness with health and well-being: A second-order meta-analysis.Reviews of many studies2026

The community around it

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What it means for you

Which fits you?

Pick the situation closest to yours. Each answer says what it rests on.

If you are under 65 and socially isolated or lonely

the mortality association appears stronger in samples of this age group, so the link is not confined to older adults.2

Evidence-backed

If you want to compare loneliness with other health risks

the mortality association is described as comparable to well-established risk factors and to smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day.21

Evidence-backed

If you are looking for prevalence figures for adults outside Europe

expect large gaps: data for age groups other than adolescents are lacking outside Europe.3

Evidence-backed

If you are assessing whether loneliness is worsening over time

the evidence on temporal trends is insufficient to draw a conclusion.3

Evidence-backed

The full story · 2 chapters

01

How common is loneliness?

AI summary:About half of US adults report loneliness, and adolescent rates across 113 countries range from about 9.2% to 14.4%.

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: In the United States, about half of adults report experiencing loneliness, according to the Surgeon General's advisory.1

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: A systematic review and meta-analysis covering 113 countries or territories found pooled loneliness prevalence for adolescents ranging from 9.2% (95% confidence interval 6.8% to 12.4%) in South-East Asia to 14.4% (12.2% to 17.1%) in the Eastern Mediterranean region. The authors conclude that problematic levels of loneliness are experienced by a substantial proportion of the population in many countries.3

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: Prevalence data were available for adolescents (12-17) in 77 countries, young adults (18-29) in 30, middle-aged adults (30-59) in 32, and older adults (60+) in 40. Outside Europe, data for all age groups except adolescents were lacking.3

Participant opinion · poll

How often do you feel lonely?

How often do you feel lonely?OftenSometimesRarelyNever
Published surveyVolunteer-based, non-probability national sample of adults in England (INTERACT study); sample predominantly female (61.6%), White (82.6%), aged over 65 (32.4%); sample size not stated
  • Often16.5%
“On DMLO, 16.5% of participants reported feeling lonely "often or always," while the UCLA-3 indicated that 21% to 22.5% frequently felt a lack of companionship, left out, or isolated (median score=6, Interquartile Range (IQR) = 3-7).”

From Measuring loneliness at a national scale: The measuring loneliness in England (INTERACT) study's approach and initial findings., BMC global and public health (El-Osta et al.). Survey asked about feeling lonely "often or always" in the past period, while the existing poll asks how often the reader feels lonely with options Often/Sometimes/Rarely/Never; only the "often or always" figure is reported. Shown for comparison; not counted in SyloSpace responses.

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02

Does loneliness affect health and lifespan?

AI summary:Pooled analyses link social isolation, loneliness, and living alone to higher mortality, with risk called comparable to smoking.

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: A meta-analysis of studies providing quantitative mortality data found that, after statistical control for several possible confounds, the weighted average effect sizes were: social isolation odds ratio 1.29, loneliness odds ratio 1.26, and living alone odds ratio 1.32 — corresponding to 29%, 26%, and 32% increased likelihood of mortality respectively. The authors found no difference between objective and subjective measures of social isolation, and results were consistent across gender, length of follow-up, and world region.2

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: The same analysis reports that initial health status influences the findings, and that social deficits are more predictive of death in samples with an average age younger than 65. The authors describe the influence of both objective and subjective social isolation on mortality risk as comparable with well-established risk factors for mortality.2

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: The US Surgeon General's advisory states that lacking social connection increases the risk of premature death to a degree comparable with smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day.1

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Sources

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  1. 1
    Our epidemic of loneliness and isolation: the U.S. Surgeon General's advisory on the healing effects of social connection and community
    US Department of Health and Human ServicesPublished May 3, 2023Checked Sep 30, 2026
    “About half of US adults report experiencing loneliness. Lacking social connection increases the risk of premature death to a degree comparable with smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day.”
  2. 2
    Loneliness and Social Isolation as Risk Factors for Mortality
    Perspectives on Psychological Science (Holt‐Lunstad et al.)Published Mar 1, 2015Checked Sep 30, 2026
    “We conducted a literature search of studies (January 1980 to February 2014) using MEDLINE, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Social Work Abstracts, and Google Scholar. The included studies provided quantitative data on mortality as affected by loneliness, social isolation, or living alone. Across studies in which several possible confounds were statistically controlled for, the weighted average effect sizes were as follows: social isolation odds ratio (OR) = 1.29, loneliness OR = 1.26, and living alone OR = 1.32, corresponding to an average of 29%, 26%, and 32% increased likelihood of mortality, respectively. We found no differences between measures of objective and subjective social isolation. Results remain consistent across gender, length of follow-up, and world region, but initial health status has an influence on the findings. Results also differ across participant age, with social deficits being more predictive of death in samples with an average age younger than 65 years. Overall, the influence of both objective and subjective social isolation on risk for mortality is comparable with well-established risk factors for mortality.”
  3. 3
    The prevalence of loneliness across 113 countries: systematic review and meta-analysis
    BMJ (Surkalim et al.)Published Feb 9, 2022Checked Sep 30, 2026
    “Prevalence data were available for 113 countries or territories, according to official WHO nomenclature for regions, from 57 studies. Data were available for adolescents (12-17 years) in 77 countries or territories, young adults (18-29 years) in 30 countries, middle aged adults (30-59 years) in 32 countries, and older adults (≥60 years) in 40 countries. Data for all age groups except adolescents were lacking outside of Europe. Overall, 212 estimates for 106 countries from 24 studies were included in meta-analyses. The pooled prevalence of loneliness for adolescents ranged from 9.2% (95% confidence interval 6.8% to 12.4%) in South-East Asia to 14.4% (12.2% to 17.1%) in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Problematic levels of loneliness are experienced by a substantial proportion of the population in many countries. The substantial difference in data coverage between high income countries (particularly Europe) and low and middle income countries raised an important equity issue. Evidence on the temporal trends of loneliness is insufficient. The findings of this meta-analysis are limited by data scarcity and methodological heterogeneity.”
  4. 4
    The association of loneliness with health and well-being: A second-order meta-analysis.
    Health psychology : official journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association (Zell & RoPublished Sep 3, 2026Checked Oct 4, 2026
    “We used second-order meta-analysis to assess relations of loneliness with health and well-being.ResultsWe found a robust association of loneliness with broad indices of mental health, r = .37, 95% confidence interval [CI; 0.31, 0.44], psychological adjustment, r = .32, 95% CI [0.28, 0.36], and physical health, r = .15, 95% CI [0.10, 0.20], as well as specific indices of anxiety, cognitive functioning, depression, relationship functioning, social support, and problematic technology use. Loneliness associations varied significantly by loneliness measure and inclusion of unpublished studies, longitudinal studies, and covariates. However, risk of bias may have inflated effect sizes.ConclusionsOur findings clarify the association of loneliness with several indices of health and well-being as well as the conditions under which these associations are most pronounced. Additional study is needed to examine longitudinal associations, interventions, and preregistered effects. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).”
  5. 5
    Is my loneliness killing me? Effects of loneliness and social isolation on transitions between cognitive status categories and death.
    Journal of personality and social psychology (Yoneda et al.)Published Jun 15, 2026Checked Oct 4, 2026
    “Further, extensive between-study variability in operational definitions, modeling approaches, and covariate adjustments may be contributing to mixed results in the existing literature. In this registered report, we applied a multistudy approach (i.e., coordinated data analysis) in which independent but identical models were fit across 11 longitudinal studies representing participants from 18 countries (Ntotal = 175,070). Random effects meta-analyses synthesized results across studies, showing that loneliness was consistently associated with an elevated risk of cognitive impairment and mortality across statistical approaches, even after adjusting for social isolation. Conversely, social isolation was not consistently associated with cognitive impairment and showed weaker associations with mortality risk. Together, our findings suggest that loneliness is a robust, proximal predictor of major aging outcomes and highlight avenues for theory development, strategies to strengthen cognitive resilience and independence in older adulthood, and more efficient resource allocation of public health resources. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).”
  6. 6
    Prevalence and factors associated with loneliness among older adults in Africa: systematic review and meta-analysis.
    Systematic reviews (Mekonnen et al.)Published Jun 11, 2026Checked Oct 4, 2026
    “this problem in the African region.ObjectiveTo determine the pooled prevalence and associated factors of loneliness among older adults in Africa.MethodOriginal studies on the prevalence of loneliness among older adults in Africa were retrieved from well-known international databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library, as well as search engines like Google and Google Scholar. A random-effects model was applied to estimate the combined prevalence of loneliness among older adults in Africa. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA version 17 software.ResultsThis systematic review and meta-analysis included 18 cross-sectional observational studies that provided data on the prevalence of loneliness among older adults. The overall pooled prevalence of loneliness in this population was 37.86 [95% CI (30.11, 45.62), I2 = 100%, p ConclusionIn this systematic review well over one-third of older adults suffered from loneliness which highlights that loneliness is a significant concern among older adults in Africa. Marital status, alcohol-drinking habits, and depressive symptoms were found significant predictors of loneliness among older adults in Africa.”
  7. 7
    Worldwide Changes in Loneliness Among Older Adults From 1997 to 2025: A Cross-Temporal Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review.
    The International journal of social psychiatry (Kang et al.)Published Sep 4, 2026Checked Oct 4, 2026
    “Cross-temporal meta-analysis was conducted to assess trends in loneliness and its associations with societal indicators.ResultsOverall loneliness among older adults showed a modest decline over time (d = -0.331), with significant regional variation. Loneliness decreased in Asia and North America but increased in Europe, where levels were highest. No significant overall gender differences were observed, although women showed a slightly greater decline. Higher GDP per capita, life expectancy, and old-age dependency ratio were associated with lower loneliness, whereas unemployment was associated with higher loneliness. The influence of female labor force participation changed over time.DiscussionOver the past three decades, loneliness among older adults has generally improved, though regional and gender disparities persist in this trend, which remains closely linked to multiple macro-level social indicators. Future policy formulation must account for regional variations and the long-term effects of social change, promoting more targeted psychological support systems for older adults to effectively enhance their mental wellbeing and quality of life.”
  8. 8
    Measuring loneliness at a national scale: The measuring loneliness in England (INTERACT) study's approach and initial findings.
    BMC global and public health (El-Osta et al.)Published Aug 6, 2026Checked Sep 30, 2026
    “The cohort was predominantly female (61.6%), White (82.6%) and aged over 65 (32.4%). The sample over-represented highly educated individuals and under-represented minority ethnic groups. On DMLO, 16.5% of participants reported feeling lonely "often or always," while the UCLA-3 indicated that 21% to 22.5% frequently felt a lack of companionship, left out, or isolated (median score=6, Interquartile Range (IQR) = 3-7). Social capital perceptions were mixed (median=4, IQR) = 2-6). The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated feelings of loneliness for 44.0% of respondents and isolation for 48.2%. As a volunteer-based, non-probability sample, findings are descriptive of respondents and are not intended to estimate population prevalence.ConclusionsThe INTERACT Study provides a comprehensive national dataset on loneliness and social disconnection in England. The scale, methodological rigour and spatial granularity of the INTERACT study offer indicative insights that may inform the design of targeted, place-based interventions, pending confirmatory analyses in representative samples to mitigate loneliness and promote social connection across communities.”

How it changed

Published 3 times since Sep 30, 2026.

  1. Version 5Sep 30, 2026Live now

    Removed a duplicate poll; the published survey figures now appear on the existing poll.

    • Minor wording changes.
  2. Version 4Sep 30, 2026

    Added a reader poll shown alongside published survey figures.

    • Minor wording changes.
  3. Version 3Sep 30, 2026

    Initial Starting Map on the prevalence of loneliness and its links to mortality, built from three sources: a US Surgeon General advisory, a mortality meta-analysis, and a 113-country prevalence review.

    • First published version.
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