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How many people who never smoked are now vaping, and is vaping safer than smoking?

UK data show about a million never-smokers now vape, and vaping is still mostly concentrated among people with a smoking history.

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Covers: The prevalence of vaping among people who never smoked, based on national surveys and public health data, and compares the health risks of vaping versus smoking based on current evidence. It does not cover vaping as a smoking cessation method or policy debates about regulation.

Also answers: How many never-smokers vape? · Is vaping safer than smoking? · Vaping among people who never smoked · Are e-cigarettes safer than regular cigarettes?

person putting e-juice on gold Wismec variable vaporizer
Photo: VapeClubMY

The short answer

Interpretation AI-prepared starting map

In the UK, about one million people who have never smoked are now vaping, according to the latest national statistics, which also show that for the second year in a row more over-16s vape than smoke. Among Scottish adults aged 60 and over, e-cigarette use was low but non-trivial, rising from 2.16% (95% CI 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI 4.43-6.93) in 2023, and was overwhelmingly concentrated among people with a smoking history: current smokers had adjusted odds of use 18.78 times those of never-smokers (95% CI 11.79-29.92). On safety, the evidence is mixed and uncertain: exclusive e-cigarette use showed no statistically clear link to high blood pressure (incident hypertension HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64), while dual use of e-cigarettes and cigarettes was associated with higher risk (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76), and cigarette-only smoking was linked to both prevalent (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25) hypertension. General reference material states vaping is less harmful than smoking but still carries health risks, particularly for people with asthma.1234

What this rests on4 independent sources
  • Evidence 14
  • Interpretation 3

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In brief

  1. About one million people in the UK who have never smoked now vape, and more over-16s vape than smoke for the second year running.1

    Evidence-backed
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  2. Vaping is still concentrated among people with a smoking history: in Scottish adults aged 60+, current smokers had nearly 19 times the adjusted odds of e-cigarette use compared with people without a smoking history.2

    Evidence-backed
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  3. Exclusive vaping showed no statistically clear link to hypertension, while cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with it, but the evidence certainty is very low.3

    Evidence-backed
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  4. Using e-cigarettes alongside combustible cigarettes (dual use) was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76).3

    Evidence-backed
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  5. General reference material states vaping is less harmful than smoking but still carries health risks, particularly for people with asthma.4

    Evidence-backed
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At a glance

The picture in numbers

Live · updated just now

Scottish survey, 2021 and 2023
  • 20212.16%
  • 20235.55%
E-cigarette use among Scottish adults aged 60 and over2
Scottish adults aged 60 and over

18.78 times the odds

Odds of e-cigarette use for current smokers compared with people without a smoking history2

The evidence behind it

4 sources
  • Reviews of many studies1
  • Other studies and data1
  • Background2

Published in 2026

Sources on this page by kind and year
SourceKindYear
One million UK people who have never smoked are now vapingBackground2026
Prevalence and correlates of e-cigarette use among older adults aged 60 years and over.Other studies and data2026
Associations of exclusive e-cigarette use and dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes with prevalent and incident hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Reviews of many studies2026
Electronic cigarette (Wikipedia)BackgroundUnknown

The community around it

No one has added to this page yet. Firsthand experience, a newer study or a different reading of the numbers would show up here, credited to you.

What it means for you

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Pick the situation closest to yours. Each answer says what it rests on.

If you have never smoked and are considering vaping

the available data show vaping among never-smokers is real but still a small share of all vaping, and general reference material says vaping still carries health risks even though it is less harmful than smoking.14

Evidence-backed

If you smoke and are thinking about switching entirely to vaping

cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with hypertension while exclusive vaping was not, but the certainty of that evidence is very low, so it should not be read as a guarantee of safety.3

Evidence-backed

If you both smoke and vape

dual use was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76), so continuing both is not equivalent to switching.3

Evidence-backed

If you have asthma

general reference material flags vaping as still carrying health risks, particularly for people with asthma.4

Evidence-backed

If you are over 60 and want to understand vaping in your age group

use among Scottish adults 60+ ranged from about 2% to 6% across survey years and was concentrated among current and former smokers, with the authors calling for age-sensitive clinical counselling and balanced risk communication.2

Evidence-backed

The full story · 2 chapters

01

How many people who never smoked are vaping?

AI summary:About a million UK never-smokers vape, and vaping remains heavily concentrated among current and former smokers.

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: UK national statistics indicate that around one million people who have never smoked are now vaping, and that for a second consecutive year more over-16s vape than smoke.1

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: In a Scottish survey of adults aged 60 and over, e-cigarette use stayed broadly stable across survey years but rose from 2.16% (95% CI 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI 4.43-6.93) in 2023. Use was strongly patterned by smoking history: current smokers had adjusted odds of e-cigarette use 18.78 times those of people without a smoking history (95% CI 11.79-29.92), and use was concentrated among current and former smokers. The authors note the cross-sectional design cannot distinguish cessation, substitution, experimentation or persistent dual use, and highlight a steep age gradient, deprivation patterning and an association with poorer self-rated health.2

Interpretation

Interpretation: Taken together, these figures suggest that vaping among never-smokers is real but still a small share of all vaping, since use remains heavily concentrated among people with prior exposure to combustible tobacco. The two sources cover different populations and time points, so they should not be read as a single trend.12

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02

Is vaping safer than smoking?

AI summary:Exclusive vaping showed no clear hypertension link, but dual use and cigarette-only smoking were associated with higher risk.

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: A systematic review and meta-analysis of e-cigarette use and hypertension found no statistically clear association between exclusive e-cigarette use and either prevalent or incident hypertension; the estimate for incident hypertension included the null (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64; I² = 64.3%). Dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes was associated with higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76; I² = 77.3%). In separate secondary analyses, cigarette-only smoking was associated with prevalent hypertension (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident hypertension (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25). Certainty of evidence was rated very low because of risk of bias, heterogeneity and imprecision.3

Evidence-backed

Evidence-backed: General reference material describes e-cigarettes as devices that vaporise a liquid (mainly propylene glycol or glycerin, usually with nicotine and flavourings) into an aerosol rather than producing smoke, and states that vaping is less harmful than smoking but still has health risks, particularly for people with asthma. It also notes limited evidence that e-cigarettes are less addictive than smoking because of slower nicotine absorption.4

Interpretation

Interpretation: The hypertension data point in the same direction as the general claim that vaping is less harmful than smoking: cigarette-only smoking showed a consistent association with hypertension, while exclusive vaping did not show a statistically clear one. But the very low certainty of that evidence means the comparison is suggestive rather than settled, and the dual-use finding suggests that vaping alongside smoking carries its own elevated risk.34

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What to remember

Try to recall each hidden figure before you reveal it. Remembering, not rereading, is what makes it stick.

  1. About one million people in the UK who have never smoked now vape, and more over-s vape than smoke for the second year running.

  2. Vaping is still concentrated among people with a smoking history: in Scottish adults aged +, current smokers had nearly 19 times the adjusted odds of e-cigarette use compared with people without a smoking history.

  3. Exclusive vaping showed no statistically clear link to hypertension, while cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with it, but the evidence certainty is very low.

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grey vape lotUp nextIs vaping safer than smoking, and how many non-smokers vape?Is vaping safer than smoking, and how many people who have never smoked regularly vape?

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  1. 1
    One million UK people who have never smoked are now vaping
    BBC NewsPublished Oct 6, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
    “Latest statistics also show, for the second year in a row, more over-16s vape than smoke.”
  2. 2
    Prevalence and correlates of e-cigarette use among older adults aged 60 years and over.
    European geriatric medicine (Adebisi et al.)Published Jun 29, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
    “Prevalence remained broadly stable across survey years, ranging from 2.16% (95% CI: 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI: 4.43-6.93) in 2023. E-cigarette use was overwhelmingly concentrated among those with a smoking history: current smokers (adjusted OR 18.78, 95% CI: 11.79-29.92, p ConclusionsE-cigarette use among Scottish older adults was low but non-trivial and was strongly patterned by smoking history. The concentration of use among current and former smokers suggests that e-cigarette use in this age group occurs mainly among people with prior exposure to combustible tobacco, although the cross-sectional design cannot determine whether use reflects cessation, substitution, experimentation, or persistent dual use. The steep age gradient, deprivation patterning, and association with poorer self-rated health highlight the need for age-sensitive clinical counselling and balanced risk communication in older adults.”
  3. 3
    Associations of exclusive e-cigarette use and dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes with prevalent and incident hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
    American journal of preventive cardiology (Adebisi et al.)Published Jul 24, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
    “Three non-overlapping longitudinal cohorts contributed to the primary incident analyses, with reported follow-up ranging from 3.7 to 6.0 years. For incident hypertension, the estimate for exclusive e-cigarette use also included the null (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64; I² = 64.3%), whereas dual use was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76; I² = 77.3%). In separate secondary analyses, cigarette-only smoking was associated with prevalent hypertension (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident hypertension (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25). Certainty of evidence was very low because of risk of bias, heterogeneity, and imprecision.ConclusionsNo statistically clear association was observed between exclusive e-cigarette use and prevalent or incident hypertension; however, the very low-certainty and imprecise evidence does not exclude a potentially important association. Dual use was associated with higher odds of prevalent hypertension and a higher risk of incident hypertension, although causal interpretation is limited by observational study designs, heterogeneity, residual confounding, and exposure misclassification.”
  4. 4
    Electronic cigarette (Wikipedia)
    WikipediaPublished Oct 10, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
    “An electronic cigarette (e-cigarette) or vape is a device that simulates tobacco smoking. It consists of an atomizer, a power source such as a battery, and a container such as a cartridge or tank. Instead of smoke, the user inhales vapor, often called "vaping". The atomizer is a heating element that vaporizes a liquid solution called e-liquid that cools into an aerosol of tiny droplets, vapor and air. The vapor mainly comprises propylene glycol or glycerin, usually with nicotine and flavoring. Its exact composition varies, and depends on matters such as user behavior. E-cigarettes are activated by taking a puff or pressing a button. Some look like traditional cigarettes, and most kinds are reusable. Vaping is less harmful than smoking, but still has health risks, particularly for those with asthma. Limited evidence indicates that e-cigarettes are less addictive than smoking, with slower nicotine absorption rates. E-cigarettes containing nicotine are more effective than nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) for smoking cessation, but have not been tested as rigorously as nicotine replacement therapy products.”

How it changed

Published 1 time since Oct 11, 2026.

  1. Version 2Oct 11, 2026Live now

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Open questions

  • Is the number of never-smokers who vape rising, and how does it break down by age, region and survey method? The available UK figure is a headline number without that detail.

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  • What do long-term studies show about vaping and outcomes other than hypertension, such as cancer, lung disease and cardiovascular events?

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  • Why is dual use of e-cigarettes and cigarettes associated with higher hypertension risk than exclusive vaping, and what drives that pattern?

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  • What explains the steep age gradient and deprivation patterning in e-cigarette use among older adults, and what does it mean for clinical advice?

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