How many people who never smoked are now vaping, and is vaping safer than smoking?
UK data show about a million never-smokers now vape, and vaping is still mostly concentrated among people with a smoking history.
Covers: The prevalence of vaping among people who never smoked, based on national surveys and public health data, and compares the health risks of vaping versus smoking based on current evidence. It does not cover vaping as a smoking cessation method or policy debates about regulation.
Also answers: How many never-smokers vape? · Is vaping safer than smoking? · Vaping among people who never smoked · Are e-cigarettes safer than regular cigarettes?
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The short answer
Interpretation AI-prepared starting mapIn the UK, about one million people who have never smoked are now vaping, according to the latest national statistics, which also show that for the second year in a row more over-16s vape than smoke. Among Scottish adults aged 60 and over, e-cigarette use was low but non-trivial, rising from 2.16% (95% CI 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI 4.43-6.93) in 2023, and was overwhelmingly concentrated among people with a smoking history: current smokers had adjusted odds of use 18.78 times those of never-smokers (95% CI 11.79-29.92). On safety, the evidence is mixed and uncertain: exclusive e-cigarette use showed no statistically clear link to high blood pressure (incident hypertension HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64), while dual use of e-cigarettes and cigarettes was associated with higher risk (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76), and cigarette-only smoking was linked to both prevalent (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25) hypertension. General reference material states vaping is less harmful than smoking but still carries health risks, particularly for people with asthma.1234
- Evidence 14
- Interpretation 3
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Be the first to voteIn brief
About one million people in the UK who have never smoked now vape, and more over-16s vape than smoke for the second year running.1
Evidence-backedVaping is still concentrated among people with a smoking history: in Scottish adults aged 60+, current smokers had nearly 19 times the adjusted odds of e-cigarette use compared with people without a smoking history.2
Evidence-backedExclusive vaping showed no statistically clear link to hypertension, while cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with it, but the evidence certainty is very low.3
Evidence-backedUsing e-cigarettes alongside combustible cigarettes (dual use) was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76).3
Evidence-backedGeneral reference material states vaping is less harmful than smoking but still carries health risks, particularly for people with asthma.4
Evidence-backed
At a glance
The picture in numbers
Live · updated just now
- 20212.16%
- 20235.55%
18.78 times the odds
The evidence behind it
4 sources- Reviews of many studies1
- Other studies and data1
- Background2
Published in 2026
| Source | Kind | Year |
|---|---|---|
| One million UK people who have never smoked are now vaping | Background | 2026 |
| Prevalence and correlates of e-cigarette use among older adults aged 60 years and over. | Other studies and data | 2026 |
| Associations of exclusive e-cigarette use and dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes with prevalent and incident hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis. | Reviews of many studies | 2026 |
| Electronic cigarette (Wikipedia) | Background | Unknown |
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What it means for you
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Pick the situation closest to yours. Each answer says what it rests on.
If you have never smoked and are considering vaping
the available data show vaping among never-smokers is real but still a small share of all vaping, and general reference material says vaping still carries health risks even though it is less harmful than smoking.14
Evidence-backedIf you smoke and are thinking about switching entirely to vaping
cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with hypertension while exclusive vaping was not, but the certainty of that evidence is very low, so it should not be read as a guarantee of safety.3
Evidence-backedIf you both smoke and vape
dual use was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76), so continuing both is not equivalent to switching.3
Evidence-backedIf you have asthma
general reference material flags vaping as still carrying health risks, particularly for people with asthma.4
Evidence-backedIf you are over 60 and want to understand vaping in your age group
use among Scottish adults 60+ ranged from about 2% to 6% across survey years and was concentrated among current and former smokers, with the authors calling for age-sensitive clinical counselling and balanced risk communication.2
Evidence-backedThe full story · 2 chapters
01
How many people who never smoked are vaping?
AI summary:About a million UK never-smokers vape, and vaping remains heavily concentrated among current and former smokers.
Evidence-backed: UK national statistics indicate that around one million people who have never smoked are now vaping, and that for a second consecutive year more over-16s vape than smoke.1
Evidence-backed: In a Scottish survey of adults aged 60 and over, e-cigarette use stayed broadly stable across survey years but rose from 2.16% (95% CI 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI 4.43-6.93) in 2023. Use was strongly patterned by smoking history: current smokers had adjusted odds of e-cigarette use 18.78 times those of people without a smoking history (95% CI 11.79-29.92), and use was concentrated among current and former smokers. The authors note the cross-sectional design cannot distinguish cessation, substitution, experimentation or persistent dual use, and highlight a steep age gradient, deprivation patterning and an association with poorer self-rated health.2
Interpretation: Taken together, these figures suggest that vaping among never-smokers is real but still a small share of all vaping, since use remains heavily concentrated among people with prior exposure to combustible tobacco. The two sources cover different populations and time points, so they should not be read as a single trend.12
Which best describes your own vaping and smoking history?
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02
Is vaping safer than smoking?
AI summary:Exclusive vaping showed no clear hypertension link, but dual use and cigarette-only smoking were associated with higher risk.
Evidence-backed: A systematic review and meta-analysis of e-cigarette use and hypertension found no statistically clear association between exclusive e-cigarette use and either prevalent or incident hypertension; the estimate for incident hypertension included the null (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64; I² = 64.3%). Dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes was associated with higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76; I² = 77.3%). In separate secondary analyses, cigarette-only smoking was associated with prevalent hypertension (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident hypertension (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25). Certainty of evidence was rated very low because of risk of bias, heterogeneity and imprecision.3
Evidence-backed: General reference material describes e-cigarettes as devices that vaporise a liquid (mainly propylene glycol or glycerin, usually with nicotine and flavourings) into an aerosol rather than producing smoke, and states that vaping is less harmful than smoking but still has health risks, particularly for people with asthma. It also notes limited evidence that e-cigarettes are less addictive than smoking because of slower nicotine absorption.4
Interpretation: The hypertension data point in the same direction as the general claim that vaping is less harmful than smoking: cigarette-only smoking showed a consistent association with hypertension, while exclusive vaping did not show a statistically clear one. But the very low certainty of that evidence means the comparison is suggestive rather than settled, and the dual-use finding suggests that vaping alongside smoking carries its own elevated risk.34
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About one million people in the UK who have never smoked now vape, and more over-s vape than smoke for the second year running.
Vaping is still concentrated among people with a smoking history: in Scottish adults aged +, current smokers had nearly 19 times the adjusted odds of e-cigarette use compared with people without a smoking history.
Exclusive vaping showed no statistically clear link to hypertension, while cigarette-only smoking was consistently associated with it, but the evidence certainty is very low.
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- 1One million UK people who have never smoked are now vapingBBC NewsPublished Oct 6, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
“Latest statistics also show, for the second year in a row, more over-16s vape than smoke.”
- 2Prevalence and correlates of e-cigarette use among older adults aged 60 years and over.European geriatric medicine (Adebisi et al.)Published Jun 29, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
“Prevalence remained broadly stable across survey years, ranging from 2.16% (95% CI: 1.43-3.25) in 2021 to 5.55% (95% CI: 4.43-6.93) in 2023. E-cigarette use was overwhelmingly concentrated among those with a smoking history: current smokers (adjusted OR 18.78, 95% CI: 11.79-29.92, p ConclusionsE-cigarette use among Scottish older adults was low but non-trivial and was strongly patterned by smoking history. The concentration of use among current and former smokers suggests that e-cigarette use in this age group occurs mainly among people with prior exposure to combustible tobacco, although the cross-sectional design cannot determine whether use reflects cessation, substitution, experimentation, or persistent dual use. The steep age gradient, deprivation patterning, and association with poorer self-rated health highlight the need for age-sensitive clinical counselling and balanced risk communication in older adults.”
- 3Associations of exclusive e-cigarette use and dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes with prevalent and incident hypertension: A systematic review and meta-analysis.American journal of preventive cardiology (Adebisi et al.)Published Jul 24, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
“Three non-overlapping longitudinal cohorts contributed to the primary incident analyses, with reported follow-up ranging from 3.7 to 6.0 years. For incident hypertension, the estimate for exclusive e-cigarette use also included the null (HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.83-1.64; I² = 64.3%), whereas dual use was associated with a higher risk of incident hypertension (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.03-1.76; I² = 77.3%). In separate secondary analyses, cigarette-only smoking was associated with prevalent hypertension (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.10-1.41) and incident hypertension (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25). Certainty of evidence was very low because of risk of bias, heterogeneity, and imprecision.ConclusionsNo statistically clear association was observed between exclusive e-cigarette use and prevalent or incident hypertension; however, the very low-certainty and imprecise evidence does not exclude a potentially important association. Dual use was associated with higher odds of prevalent hypertension and a higher risk of incident hypertension, although causal interpretation is limited by observational study designs, heterogeneity, residual confounding, and exposure misclassification.”
- 4Electronic cigarette (Wikipedia)WikipediaPublished Oct 10, 2026Checked Oct 11, 2026
“An electronic cigarette (e-cigarette) or vape is a device that simulates tobacco smoking. It consists of an atomizer, a power source such as a battery, and a container such as a cartridge or tank. Instead of smoke, the user inhales vapor, often called "vaping". The atomizer is a heating element that vaporizes a liquid solution called e-liquid that cools into an aerosol of tiny droplets, vapor and air. The vapor mainly comprises propylene glycol or glycerin, usually with nicotine and flavoring. Its exact composition varies, and depends on matters such as user behavior. E-cigarettes are activated by taking a puff or pressing a button. Some look like traditional cigarettes, and most kinds are reusable. Vaping is less harmful than smoking, but still has health risks, particularly for those with asthma. Limited evidence indicates that e-cigarettes are less addictive than smoking, with slower nicotine absorption rates. E-cigarettes containing nicotine are more effective than nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) for smoking cessation, but have not been tested as rigorously as nicotine replacement therapy products.”
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Open questions
Is the number of never-smokers who vape rising, and how does it break down by age, region and survey method? The available UK figure is a headline number without that detail.
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What do long-term studies show about vaping and outcomes other than hypertension, such as cancer, lung disease and cardiovascular events?
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Why is dual use of e-cigarettes and cigarettes associated with higher hypertension risk than exclusive vaping, and what drives that pattern?
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What explains the steep age gradient and deprivation patterning in e-cigarette use among older adults, and what does it mean for clinical advice?
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